The Coordinated Development Level of RuralProduction-Living-Ecological under the Strategyof Green Growth
Xie Xianjun , Zhang Na and Zhao Zuoxiang
摘要：认识和理解绿色增长战略下乡村生产、生活、生态“三生”融合发展的内在逻辑，协调经济增长与生态之间的相互作用关系，是实现乡村可持续发展、建设宜居乡村的应有之义。基于OECD绿色增长战略视角，本文测度了中国乡村生产、生活和生态“三生”协调发展程度和协调耦合指数，刻画了其动态趋势和收敛性。结果表明：1998-2016年乡村“三生”协调指数逐渐波动上升，断点在2009年、2010年；乡村“三生”协调耦合指数均值和最小值呈逐渐波动上升的趋势。一方面，乡村“三生”协调指数和协调耦合指数的σ收敛性，前者表现不显著收敛特征，后者表现显著；另一方面，乡村“三生”协调指数和协调耦合指数的绝对β收敛和条件β收敛，都存在显著性的收敛特征，且分区域而言，东部、中部和西部都具有显著性的收敛特征。最后，本文为推进绿色乡村振兴提出相应的政策建议，包括利用技术创新推动农村产业结构升级、促进经济发展模式与当地资源禀赋相适应、加强地质灾害预测与预警能力等。
关键词：生产；生活；生态；协调发展指数；协调耦合指数
Abstract: To realize the sustainable development of rural areas and build livable villages, it is necessary to clarify and understand the internal logic of the integrated development of rural production, living, and ecological under the green growth strategy and coordinate the interaction between economic growth and ecology. Based on the OECD green growth strategy perspective, this paper measures the coordinated development degree and coordinated coupling index of the“Production-Living-Ecological”in China, and characterizes its' dynamic trend and convergence. The results show that the rural“Production-Living-Ecological”coordination index gradually fluctuated and increased from 1998 to 2016, and the breakpoint was in 2009 and 2010. The rural“Production-Living-Ecological”coordination coupling index average and minimum values showed gradually fluctuating upward trend. On the one hand, the σ convergence of“Production-Living-Ecological”coordination index and coordination coupling index, the former shows no significant convergence characteristics, while the latter shows significant. On the other hand, the absolute β-convergence and conditional β-convergence of the coordination index and coordination coupling index both have significant convergence characteristics, and in terms of regions, the eastern, central, and western regions all have significant convergence characteristics. Finally, this article puts forward corresponding policy suggestions for promoting the revitalization of green villages, including using technological innovation to promote the upgrading of rural industrial structures, promoting economic development models to adapt to local resource endowments, and strengthening geological disaster prediction and early warning capabilities.
Keywords: Production; Living; Ecological; Coordinated Development Index; Coordinated Coupling Index
基金资助：国家自然科学基金“整体性治理视阈下深度贫困地区精准脱贫多元主体协同机制研究”（41801119）
DOI:10.19511/j.cnki.jee.2019.04.006