摘要：低碳城市试点政策的目标之一是促进产业低碳化转型，实现经济高质量发展。而发展低污染低耗能的生产性服务业，对实现国家经济向高质量转变具有重要意义。本文基于中国2005―2019年286个地级市面板数据，采用渐进双重差分法评估低碳城市试点政策对城市生产性服务业发展的影响。研究发现：试点政策能在一定程度上促进试点城市生产性服务业的发展，且经过一系列稳健性检验后结论依然成立；试点政策可以通过提升绿色技术创新水平，进而促进生产性服务业的发展；试点政策能有效促进Ⅰ型大城市、高人力资本和高金融发展水平以及非资源型城市的生产性服务业。本文的研究发现为低碳政策的效果评估拓宽了思路，为政府进一步完善低碳政策提供了有益启示。
关键词：低碳城市试点;生产性服务业;绿色技术创新
Low-Carbon City Pilot, Green Technological Innovation and the Development of Productive Service Industries
Li Daihua
Abstract: One of the goals of the low-carbon pilot policy is to promote the low-carbon transformation of the industry and achieve high-quality economic development. As a low-carbon industry, the development of the productive service industry is a bellwether for measuring the overall economic quality of the country. Based on the panel data of 286 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2019, this paper uses the progressive dual-difference method to assess the impact of low-carbon pilot policies on the development of urban productive service industries. The study found that the pilot policy can promote the development of the productive service industry in the pilot cities to a certain extent, and the conclusion is still true after a series of robustness tests. Furthermore, the pilot policies can promote the development of productive services by upgrading the level of green technology innovation and alleviating fiscal autonomy. And the pilot policy can effectively promote the productive service industry of type I large cities, high human capital and high level of financial development, and non-resource cities. The research findings in this paper broaden the thinking for the evaluation of the effects of low-carbon policies and provide useful enlightenment for the government to further improve low-carbon policies.
Keywords: Low-carbon City Pilot; Productive Services; Green Technology Innovation
