The Development and Measurement of China Green Industry Climate Index
Liu Yifang，Li Nana and Liu Qian
摘要：当前各国政府对绿色经济的发展日益重视，但由于数据基础受限，相关产业研究中尚缺乏有效的思路和方法来分析和评估绿色产业的发展态势及其对国民经济的影响。本文通过对绿色产业范围进行界定，筛选具有代表性的企业样本，利用合成指数（Composite Index, CI）方法构建了我国绿色产业景气指数，同时进行了相关政策的检验。本文开发的中国绿色产业景气指数表明代表绿色产业增长的一致合成指数数值始终大于基期值，说明绿色产业的增长一直处于较高的水平。结果显示，2014 年至2016 年间绿色产业一直保持着波动向上的发展态势，2016 年三季度以来其增速有所放缓，但仍对宏观经济有着持续拉动的作用，同时绿色产业的景气波动与我国政府各项相关政策的出台密不可分。
关键词 ： 绿色经济, 景气分析, 绿色产业景气指数
Abstract：In the context of increasing attention to green economy from governments, but the relevant industry research institutes still lack effective ideas and methods to analyze and evaluate the development trend of green industry and its impact on the national economy due to the limited of data. This paper gives the definition of the green industry, selection of representative samples, using the Composite Index（CI）method to construct China's green industry boom index. In this paper, the development of China's green industry climate index showed that the numerical value which represents the green industry growth consistent synthetic index is always greater than base period value, accounting for the growth of the green industry has been at a higher level. From 2014 to 2016, the green industry has maintained a fluctuation to the development trend, since the three quarter of 2016, its growth has slowed, but still on the macro economy continue to have a stimulating effect, while the policy fluctuation of green industry in China and the Chinese government has inseparable. green industry has maintained a swings up development situation between 2014 and 2016, and slowing down since the third quarter of 2016. But it still has a continuous pull effect on macroeconomic, at the same time, the volatility of green industry is inseparable to our government policies.
Keywords：Green Economy; Prosperity Analysis; Green Industry Climate Index
DOI:10.19511/j.cnki.jee.2017.03.009