Progress and Prospects of Global Climate Negotiations after the Paris Agreement
Wang Ke and Xiahou Qinrui
摘要：2015 年达成的《巴黎协定》在确定长期目标、平衡“自上而下”与“自下而上”机制和动态评估方面具有重要的开创意义，同时也见证了全球气候治理“二分法”解构、大国外交与全球民主平衡、决策视野扩大及广泛参与等趋势性转型。本文总结了全球气候谈判演进的四个阶段，归纳了《巴黎协定》所代表的新特点与新进展，识别出后巴黎时代全球气候治理中的关键问题。结合中国国内外形势变化，提出中国坚持已有承诺、维护《公约》基本原则、合理管控国际社会预期、坚决维护多边机制并开展多层次对话商谈等政策建议。
关键词 ： 气候谈判, 巴黎协定, 全球气候治理
Abstract: Paris Agreement, reached in 2015, is an important breakthrough in setting long-term goals, balancing top-down and bottom-up mechanisms and achieving dynamic assessments. It also reflects the transition of the deconstruction of the global climate governance dichotomy, the balance between world power diplomacy and global democracy, the expansion of decision-making horizon and the participation of a wide public. The paper summarized the four phases in the global climate negotiation, the new characteristics and trends reflected in the Paris Agreement, and some key issues in the future climate governance. In light of China’s domestic and international situations, suggestions were proposed such as committing to its pledges, safeguarding basic principles of the UNFCCC, controlling international social expectations, participating in multilateral mechanisms and promoting multi-level dialogue and discussions.
Keywords: Climate Negotiations; Paris Agreement; Global Climate Governance
DOI:10.19511/j.cnki.jee.2017.04.010